• Description of Work

    A Commission entitled COMMISSION ENERGY 2030 realises a study and a report which should lead to the elaboration of the Belgian energy policy by the year 2030. This Commission, set up by Royal Decree of 06 December 2005 (Moniteur Belge / Belgisch Staatsblad 19/12/2005), is composed of Belgian and foreign experts. The General Direction on Energy of the Ministry of Economic Affairs and the Federal Planning Bureau are cooperating with the activities of this Commission.

    The Federal Planning Bureau will supply the quantitative results of the different scenarios considered by the Commission and it will analyse them. On the basis of these results, of its own analyses and of other activities in its bosom, the Commission will draw up a preliminary report. This preliminary report will subsequently be submitted for examination to different review panels, which are representative of the entire civil society. At the end of this procedure the Commission will transmit its final report to the Minister of Energy. The recommendations contained in this report will subsequently be the subject of a parliamentary debate.

    The study should enable to objectify the debate, starting from the most complete possible technical, economic, social and environmental evaluation of the results of the various scenarios of energy policy, with a special attention given to the supply security and the independence of the country.

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  • Objectives

    The essential objective of this study will be the supply of scientific and economic analyses, necessary to operate the choices as to Belgian energy policy by the year 2030. It will stress the economic, technical, social and environmental aspects of the different options or scenarios of investment policy in production, storage, and transport, considering the different sources and types of renewable energy and the aspects of security of supply and energetic independence. It also will have to taken into account the competitiveness of enterprises, the evolution of regional and national demand for energy, the observance of environmental commitments and the maintaining or the development of the technological know how.

    The evaluation of the scenarios concerning energy policy will at least cover the following items:

    • A worked out evaluation of the economic and environmental impacts of the different options of energy policy in the medium and in the long term ;
    • The updating of the conclusions of the previous Commission on the Analysis of the Modes of Production of Electricity and the Re-evaluation of Energy carriers " Commission AMPERE ", set up by Royal Decree of 19th April 1999, by integrating in it, an analysis of the economic-, social an environmental costs;
    • An analysis of the instruments that have to been implemented in a liberalised market in order to reach the objectives of energy policy of the country; this analysis specifies the feasibility of the different options, taking into consideration the possible private and public investments and the attitude of the actors in a liberalised market;
    • The measures that have to be taken in order to prevent large-scale electric breakdowns.

    The study will elaborate different alternative scenarios, representative of the strategic options of which one should analyse and if possible quantify the advantages and the disadvantages from an economic-, social- and environmental point of view. In addition, one also will have to evaluate the plausibility of these scenarios (availability of investments, be it private or public so as to delineate the options, the behaviour of the operators in a liberalised market ...).

    The Regions will be consulted on the matters for which they have competence.

    In conclusion the study submits a proposal of strategic options in the medium and in the long term.

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  • Methodology

    The study will be realised in two parts. As to the first part (quantitative analysis on the basis of modelling), the Federal Planning Bureau will deliver the quantitative results of the different scenarios which are considered by the Commission and will analyse them.

    On the basis of this first part, the Commission will in turn analyse these results, add technical, economic, environmental, social and strategic dimensions which not necessarily can be dealt with by the simulation models and it will draw up its report based on contributions by its members, which will be submitted to internal debates. A preliminary report will subsequently be submitted for examination to several review panels, representative of the entire civil society:

    • A panel of regional governments (via the CONCERE structure)
    • A scientific-technical panel (via the BACAS)
    • A sustainable development panel (via the "Conseil Fédéral de Développement Durable" / "Federale Raad voor Duurzame Ontwikkeling")
    • An economic panel - enterprises (via the "Conseil Central de l'Economie" / "Centrale Raad voor het Bedrijfsleven")
    • A judicial and regulatory panel (via the Forum of Regulators)
    • A financial panel (via the National Bank of Belgium)
    • An international panel (via the secretariat of the IEA and the DGTREN of the Commission)

    At the request of the President and the Vice-president specific organisations could be associated with these discussions, through the secretariats of the CCE/CRB and CFDD/FRDO.

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  • Planning

    Implementation, evaluation and recommendation of the options concerning the strategies of energy policies (Preliminary report): Mid November 2006

    Consultation of the panels (Estimated duration ) : November 2006 till January 2007

    Final report (Estimated date): At the latest June 19, 2007

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